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MARCH 2001
Like many internet
entrepreneurs, I suspect,
I am re-reading Burn
Rate, the account by Michael Wolf of his adventures in the early internet
years. Wolf, formerly and now again a journalist, was briefly in the
mid-1990s an internet entrepreneur.
Most people have
forgotten that the internet bubble burst once before, in 1997, when
Yahoo! traded down to a value of $300 million and analysts questioned
whether internet companies would ever make money. Burn Rate is set during
this trough. And it is as dismally appropriate to the mood in early 2001
as The New New Thing, Michael Lewis’s
book about hyper-entrepreneur Jim Clark, suited the exuberance of a year
ago. Burn Rate is the more educative book, with lessons for the naïve
entrepreneur that are as powerful as they are obvious.
First, internet
businesses can be as miserable as any other small business. During the
internet boom, capital was on tap, like free beer at a party.
Entrepreneurs could play table football, and brainstorm. From The New New Thing, one would have thought that business was
about changing the world, one sector at a time.
The backbone of Burn
Rate’s plot is the race to raise investment, with seven weeks to go
before the cash runs out. Wolf’s account of his presentation to an
investor conference, a façade of confidence hiding growing panic, makes
me anxious just reading it. And it’s a particularly relevant story
now. One of our partners, a small firm with strong technology, had those
ambitions. But it is out of cash. The founders are physically worn. I doubt
they sleep. They cannot meet the next payroll.
The lesson: most
internet businesses are small businesses, and as such are usually just a
step away from bankruptcy. And that is no fun.
Second, venture
capitalists are not always your friends. Wolf’s lead backers, Patricof in New York, dug up clauses in their
investment agreement to squeeze Wolf out of the company. At the time I
assumed it was because they were New York financiers, and sharks by
definition – true technology investors were collaborative and
supportive. Now I realise that investors are
creatures of the markets. For all the rhetoric about long-term, through
thick and thin, many act more like mezzanine investors, calculating the
likelihood of a successful IPO rather than the intrinsic value of a
business. With the markets frail, these VCs are under pressure –
their ruthlessness is a function not of personality but of the market.
The latest fashion is
liquidation. Some VCs are examining their portfolios not for companies
about to run out of cash but for those with cash
in them, so that they can be
liquidated. That way, the last-round investors recoup much of their
commitment, whereas the founders, employees and angel investors make
nothing.
The founders can
obstruct this process in court, and sometimes the investors buy their
acquiescence with a small cash payment. In a recent case in Silicon Valley, the VCs dealt with
opposition by putting in a chief executive whose role was to cut back to
the point that liquidation was inevitable.
Third, there is life
after the internet. At the end of Burn Rate, Wolf walks away from the
company. As a writer, he is more successful than ever, trading off his
very failure.
Finally, sometimes an
internet entrepreneur should just hang in there. Wolf does not regret
abandoning his internet venture, but he left with nothing. If he had
waited six months, he would have made eight figures. He gave up just as
market sentiment turned.
At Moreover’s office in San Francisco, we await a connection from
Cogent Communications that will bring fibre-optic
cable into our network. High bandwidth, finally.
A long-time sceptic of the internet on mobile phones, I recently
bought a PC card that slots into my laptop and gives me wireless access
to e-mail and the web. The service, from Ricochet, is faster than a
dial-up connection. If I am an example to go by, Ricochet users spend all
their working time online.
I have been buying
scanners for the past five years, in the hope that I can get rid of paper
files. The scanners, not quite fast or practical enough, sit and gather
dust like the paper documents that I can never find when needed. Now
Hewlett-Packard has brought out the Sender, a high-speed scanner that
connects into our network in San Francisco. The paperless office is
within reach.
And the lesson?
Analysts, entrepreneurs, established companies and commentators are all
giving up on the internet just as it is beginning to realise
its potential. Walking away, like Wolf, may not be the end of the world,
but there will be rewards for those who hang on in there.
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