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JULY 2001
This is not so much a
recession as an extended vacation for many of the people I know in Silicon Valley.
Take Nigel, venture
capitalist at a fund that is being wound up, planning to manage his
diminishing portfolio from a lodge on a New Zealand fjord. Or Dan, who has sold
his company to one of the internet giants and is negotiating a long
holiday before joining the acquiring firm. Or Lev, Harvard Business
School graduate and internet dealmaker, who left his job last summer and
has spent the past 10 months travelling and
interviewing at endless VC firms, none of which is hiring.
These people are the
privileged part of the technology industry, people who have made enough
money – six or low seven figures – to take time off without
jeopardizing their financial security. For many others who sacrificed
salaries, paid exorbitant San Francisco rents and failed to cash in
stock while the internet bubble was still inflated, this downturn is
already a source of financial anxiety. Unemployment in San Francisco has risen above 4% for the
first time since 1998, and it has further to go.
But one of the most
remarkable manifestations of the economic slowdown has been just that:
people slowing down and taking time off.
The first sign, for
me, came last autumn, when I sent out invitations for one of the Eurotrash networking events we periodically hold for
European expats in Silicon Valley. Besides the growing number
of messages that were bounced back ‘recipient unknown’ was an
e-mail from
a German entrepreneur. Sorry,
he wrote, he could not come because his company had gone out of business,
and he was busy hiking in Nepal.
Now at least a
quarter of the people I know are not so much between jobs as on vacation.
San Francisco’s many cafés seem
fuller in the daytime than usual. At Moreover, the information management
company I co-founded and brought out to the Bay Area from London, we have been doing a search
for a career chief executive. One of our lead candidates says he wants to
take three months off before he takes a new position.
Some of this extended
vacation is just unemployment dressed up to sound more a matter of
choice. Others have decided that 2001 is not much fun and they would
rather just come back into the employment market when times are better.
And a few of the
vacationers are just compensating for their lack of leisure time in the
late 1990s. Then, there were people known as sleep camels, who slept all
weekend to store up energy for the coming week. Some of these have
decided to hibernate for the whole of 2001.
I
remember
Warren Adams, founder of PlanetAll, a dot.com
rescued by Amazon.com, boasting how he did not take a single day off for
two years, nor did he even take an evening off to watch a movie. These
people are rediscovering their lives, even if some of them now have
no-one to play with.
But the most
interesting group of people taking time off are
those whose expectations are still adjusting. These are recent graduates
who slipped into glamorous ‘business development’ jobs paying
$100,000 per year on the fluency of their presentation and their
understanding of the internet. It’s hard for them to acknowledge
that they are expert at conjuring lightning partnerships designed to
create buzz or ‘traction’. Now companies want revenues, and
hire salespeople. I think many of these bizdev
professionals are going on holiday rather than reconciling themselves to
a career as salespeople.
The career
expectations of the VCs are just as inflated. Many of them are former
technology executives who, like most of us, would far rather tell others
what they should do or ought to have done from the sidelines. Now that
the VC industry is shrinking, they are being pushed back into the working
world. That is a notoriously difficult re-entry.
Dreams of becoming a
celebrity VC like John Doerr or Mike Moritz
– musing about the future of the internet on conference panels,
being interviewed respectfully, dispensing advice from the elevation of a
high-powered board, accumulating the ‘carry’ on giant
investment gains – are hard to give up.
I remember how, after
university, the stars of student journalism, drama or debating were often
those who found it hardest to adjust to the real world of employment. So
it is again, as the graduates of the internet era begin to realize that
business success usually comes only after long apprenticeship. Or even
that it may never come again. No wonder, then, that to postpone the
moment of reckoning, they are all heading off on holiday.
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