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AUGUST 2001
I have had it with
being called a visionary. Eighteen months ago, a colleague bought me a
book by Carlos Castaneda about ‘seeing’, the implication
being that I had some mystical ability to envisage the future. At the
time, I was flattered. But now I really do see something clearly: that
the label of visionary is fatal to one’s credibility in business.
A visionary may have
the idea for a company, but cannot hire the management team, motivate the
staff, close a sale, drive product development, or even organize the
office Christmas party. As far as I’m concerned, visionary is an
insult.
Visionaries have
traditionally driven the technology industry. The PC revolution was
sparked by Steve Jobs, the genius behind Apple Computer Inc, and a
notoriously divisive and abrasive manager. As the centrepiece
of his book The New New Thing, Michael Lewis
paid tribute to Jim Clark, the man behind Silicon Graphics and Netscape,
among others. That book was all about the power and marketing of ideas: Clark was a bad manager but, hey,
that didn’t matter.
Others remember when
Bill Gross, founder of idealab, was a business
hero. Here was a man so fertile in his creativity that no single company
could keep his interest. What better job than dreaming up ideas for new
ventures, then getting someone else to manage them?
So what changed? The
end of exuberance, for a start, as technology stocks crashed last year.
The visionaries may have thought they were founding companies but, as
often as not, these were mere concepts or, at best, projects. Their value
was in an imagined future which the founders’ salesmanship made more
tangible.
Also, fluency with
ideas often translated, in the workplace, into inconsistency. A common
complaint about late-1990s technology firms is: ‘The
company’s strategy seemed to change every week,
we were constantly reinventing our business model.’ The visionaries
didn’t realise that intellectual
creativity, and the brainstorming that sparks it, are highly disturbing
to most staff – particularly to the individuals who ensure that a
company actually functions.
Third, the technology
boom and bust confirmed that organisational
cliché: creative individuals tend to be bad managers. The best managers
are good listeners, who synthesize views from the whole organisation. Visionaries tend to be so in love with
their idea of the moment that they are deaf to more practical opinions.
At Moreover
Technologies, the web information management company I
co-founded, we have just landed a new
CEO.
We weeded out the
visionaries early on. Eventually, we picked an individual with an
outstanding record as a sales manager and builder of executive teams, a Silicon Valley veteran who would never claim
to be a visionary.
Silicon
Valley
companies have traditionally replaced first-time founders with seasoned
executives. This institutional recognition that creativity and organization
rarely come together in a single person is one of the reasons why the
Valley has been successful. However, for a brief period in the late
1990s, a premium was placed on originality and the Valley relaxed its
rules.
At Microsoft, Bill
Gates, a product visionary, gives way to Steve Ballmer, a motivator of
the troops. And visionaries such as Nathan Myhrvold
have been sidelined. At CNET, Halsey Minor seemed one of the rare
examples of a founder who remained as CEO; he is now running his own
incubator.
The suits are taking
over in Washington DC, too. Bill Clinton was
eloquent, persuasive, notoriously tardy, disorganised,
surrounded by an enthusiastic but inexperienced staff, best late at
night, fuelled by pizza. And now in George W
Bush, the revived managerial ideal: collaborative, a builder of teams,
loyal and demanding, obsessive about punctuality.
And what does this
mean for the entrepreneurial generation of the 1990s? Well, some will
continue to lurk in the corner, with nonsense titles such as Chief Yahoo!
Others are returning to the organisations, tail
between legs, that spawned them in the first
place.
A few may be able to
reinvent themselves. Jobs may have lost control of Apple in the 1980s,
but he is back. And his latest claim to fame is his tight inventory
control, which has left Apple in a better position during this downturn
than many other manufacturers. A deliciously managerial achievement for
someone marked as a visionary.
As for the remainder,
they will have to wait till the next boom. Going by the record of past cycles, that should come sometime around 2016.
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